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2024-12-13 05:32:54

Of course, everything has its two sides. The disadvantages of flat economic data are obvious, so what are the benefits? Combined with the current policy environment of the whole market, everyone should be able to guess!However, today's news is not calm. The Bureau of Statistics released China's CPI and PPI data in November, which will have a lasting impact on the real economy, high-level governance and the A-share market! It is also the main reason why today's A-share market did not continue the strong pattern of last Friday.After today's session, Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, which has attracted much attention from the market, finally got big news! Judging from what Jun Ge has learned so far, the top management gave two reassurances at the meeting:


Second, in the case of achieving the goal, we will continue to adhere to a positive macro-adjustment policy! The meeting stressed that it is necessary to do a good job in economic work next year, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand, promote the integrated development of scientific and technological innovation and industrial innovation, stabilize the property market and stock market, prevent and resolve risks and external shocks in key areas, stabilize expectations, stimulate vitality, promote sustained economic recovery, continuously improve people's living standards, maintain social harmony and stability, and complete the objectives and tasks of the 14 th Five-Year Plan with high quality, so as to lay a solid foundation for achieving a good start of the 15 th Five-Year Plan.During this period, many investors are worried that the economic growth rate is less than expected, and that the economic recovery is too fast, and the future policy support will decline. This mentality of being swayed by considerations of gain and loss is the main obstacle that causes the A-share market to hesitate. This Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party meeting is the first time in 14 years that a "moderately loose" monetary policy has been set again, which is equivalent to removing a big stone in the hearts of bulls!To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.


From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.Combined with the two sets of inflation data in November, we can almost get a conclusion:

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