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2024-12-13 05:48:22

CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.US stocks of Interpublic Group rose nearly 16% before the market, and Omnicom once fell more than 5%. Omnicom, a large advertising and public relations company, will acquire Interpublic Group by way of stock exchange.Chengtou Holdings: The subsidiary plans to invest 640 million yuan to participate in the establishment of a limited partnership and acquire the Caobao Road project. Chengtou Holdings announced on the evening of December 9 that the company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Housing Leasing Company, plans to jointly establish a limited partnership with the Shanghai State-owned Stock Assets Revitalization Private Equity Fund Partnership (Limited Partnership) (hereinafter referred to as "State-owned Inventory Fund"), with the contribution of the partnership not exceeding 800 million yuan, of which the housing leasing company is the limited partner. The partnership enterprise will take part in the acquisition of 100% equity of Shanghai Xinbanyu Real Estate Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "the target company") and the creditor's rights of shareholders' loan enjoyed by Huaxin Real Estate of the target company with its own and self-raised funds as the main body, and then invest in the rental housing property project of plot 244-19 of Tianlin Plate in Xuhui District (hereinafter referred to as "Caobao Road Project"). If the acquisition is completed, the target company will be included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements.


Zhongtai Futures: Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary, Zhongtai Futures (01461) announced that Wei Weifeng resigned as the joint company secretary of the company and the company's agent (legal process agent) for receiving legal process documents and notices in China and Hong Kong according to Part 16 of the Companies Ordinance, Chapter 622 of the Laws of Hong Kong, with effect from December 10, 2024. Wu Xiuwei has been appointed as the joint company secretary and legal representative, with effect from December 10, 2024.According to sources, Greece will repay the first batch of rescue loans of 7.9 billion euros in advance on December 13th.New york cocoa futures on the Intercontinental Exchange jumped more than 4% to $10,271 a ton.


Ziguang shares: Ziguang special account has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares, and Ziguang shares (000938.SZ) issued an announcement. As of December 9, 2024, Ziguang Group Co., Ltd.' s special account for property disposal of bankrupt enterprises (hereinafter referred to as "Ziguang special account") has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares through centralized bidding, accounting for 0.9965% of the company's total share capital, and the reduction price range is 2474 yuan/share. The reduction plan has been implemented.Hua Fu Securities Interpretation of the Politburo Meeting in December: More incremental policies can be expected in the future. The Hua Fu Securities Research Report pointed out that the Politburo Meeting in December decided to implement more active and promising macro policies in economic work next year, which released major signals to the market, including: First, it proposed to implement a more active fiscal policy, which was also proposed in response to the impact of the COVID-19 epidemic in 2020. Second, it is proposed to implement a moderately loose monetary policy, which is more positive than the previous statement. Moreover, from the historical experience, the "moderately loose" monetary policy implemented in China after the last financial crisis in 2009-2010 has significantly enhanced its support for economic growth. This change in expression will send a clearer and clearer policy signal to the market. Third, it is proposed for the first time to strengthen unconventional countercyclical adjustment, and more incremental policies can be expected in the future. Fourth, after the policy adjustment, the expansion of domestic demand will be put in the first place, which highlights the importance and policy determination of expanding domestic demand next year. The follow-up consumption promotion policy may exert its efforts in many aspects, such as continuously promoting the trade-in of consumer goods, introducing incremental measures related to service consumption, and improving the support and protection of low-and middle-income people. Fifth, it is clearly proposed to stabilize the property market stock market, which will help to continuously consolidate the momentum of stabilization and recovery of the real estate market and give full play to the important functions of the capital market.Media: El Salvador will change its pioneering bitcoin practice in exchange for IMF transactions. According to media reports, two people familiar with the matter revealed that El Salvador is expected to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan plan of 1.3 billion US dollars in the next two to three weeks. In exchange, El Salvador will change its pioneering practice of using bitcoin as legal tender and reduce the government deficit. A delegation of the International Monetary Fund has arrived in San Salvador to finalize the details of the agreement with the government. People familiar with the matter said that the transaction is expected to release another $1 billion in loans from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank in the next few years. This loan plan must be approved by the board of directors of the International Monetary Fund, which will enable this Central American country to return to the international financial circle after several years of relative isolation. The country passed a law in June 2021, making it the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, the International Monetary Fund opposes El Salvador's adoption of digital currency on the grounds that financial stability and integrity are at risk, and urges the government to stop accepting cryptocurrency as legal tender.

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